PowerTradingLab

PowerTradingLab

[PLACEHOLDER — two sentences: what this is. Was this market worth trading, and is it still?]

Last run 2026-10-01 09:40 UTC. Imbalance data through: NL 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC, RO 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC.

Latest graded day

EUR per 1 MW of trading capacity, summed over the delivery day.
ZoneDelivery dayPassExtractableTrailing biasPassive DA buyPassive DA sellAdversePTU graded / decidedFile
NL2026-09-30as-known436.45−102.50−1,066.12−125.83−1,628.4096 / 96score
RO2026-09-30as-known5,258.881,342.90801.55−801.55−5,258.8896 / 96score

Next decision

The decision is counted in PTU: buy on the day-ahead auction, sell, or no action. Each was published before the auction gate.
ZoneDelivery dayBuySellNo actionPublishedFile
NL2026-10-02445202026-10-01 09:40 UTCforecast
Decided on all 96 PTU.
RO2026-10-02366002026-10-01 09:40 UTCforecast
Decided on all 96 PTU.

Two things measured

How fat a market is: extractable_value
The better of the two passive positions, chosen per PTU with perfect hindsight. It can be negative where dual imbalance pricing leaves the day-ahead price inside the penalty band, and that negative is real.
How much a mechanical rule takes: trailing_bias_value
The result of the hourly trailing-bias rule, which picks the day-ahead side from a trailing mean per hour of day and uses only what was known before the auction closed. Empty where no decision was issued.

All zones · The data · The report and the methodology